Gulf storm to douse Lowcountry

Potential heavy rains exist in your VIPIR 7 Day forecast, but they will focus over the next several days based on where the potential tropical system tracks in the Gulf.

The storm has a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and 70 percent chance of developing into one over the next five days.

The probability of development into a depression or storm was holding at 90 percent as of Monday morning.

Satellite data and surface observations indicated that a broad low-pressure area had formed over the Gulf of Honduras, and the associated precipitation activity was showing signs of organization. This area has a 60% chance of formation in the next 5 days, and is expected to continue moving west northwest at 20 miles per hour. The hurricane hunters are scheduled to fly into the system later on this afternoon to investigate whether it has further developed. The system is also expected to encounter inhospitable conditions in the Central Caribbean and likely fizzle. The current forecast calls for sunny, hot conditions to continue unabated through the rest of the week.

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Both areas of disturbance have a high chance of tropical development. The disturbance is expected to move through the Windward Islands Monday night and early Tuesday, producing rain accumulations of between two and four inches.

Rain chances begin to ramp up around 1 or 2 p.m. and is expected to taper off during the evening, Gilmore said.

2017 is the first year the National Hurricane Center is issuing products for Potential Tropical Cyclones. Stocking up on extra batteries, water, and a flashlight is a smart move as well for the entire hurricane season!

Tropical storm warnings or watches are in effect for Trinidad, Tobago, Grenada, St. Vincent and the Grenadines. Another storm off the northern coast of South America is expected to become Tropical Storm Bret on Monday or Tuesday.

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